The Other Broken Real Estate Market
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• Posted by Matthew Ferrara on March 19, 2009 |
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Everyone knows about the 90/10 rule: 90% of the business is done by about 10% of REALTORS. Translated to a consumer experience, this means that most buyers and sellers have about a 1-in-10 chance of getting the “best performing” agent to sell their home or represent them in a purchase. Even a generous assessment of the business – quartiled for the top 25% of agents who generate more than $200,000 in commissions annually – leave the underperforming-bottom 75% of the business to muck up the works. And while banks, lenders, Fannie, Freddie, Frank and Dodd all share some blame for causing the current crisis, could it be that the “other” broken real estate market is the soft-underbelly of the brokerage industry itself?
Do we really need to answer that?
Actually, we do. While readily critical of everyone else’s responsibility to get the industry back on its feet – and with it, apparently the greater economy, – REALTORS themselves are discovering that their competition isn’t capturing market share from them. Instead, it’s simply destroying market share for everyone. And it’s much worse than simply not knowing how to price homes on the market.
The real estate industry today is barely surviving by picking off the bottom of the marketplace: Distressed sales – foreclosures, short sales or just panicky investors – make up significant portions of the best performing company’s sales volume these days. Rather than cut their losses and take mispriced inventory off the market, REALTORS instead are following a two-path approach that is further exacerbating the downward spiral. They are leaving un-corrected inventory available for months, even years, until their once-solvent sellers exhaust their remaining equity and become themselves one of the local foreclosures that started to sap their values. It goes beyond a violation of business best practices for REALTORS not to correct or remove their sellers’ mis-priced inventory from the market: it’s clearly unethical to destroy their client’s value as well.
Leaving aside the philosophical question of business ethics for a moment, we can remain in the practical realm to see the depth of the damage. The story is all too familiar to top agents.
Take, for example, someone from my social network: She’s a Ten-Percent-Top-Performer whose buyer made a full priced offer on a foreclosure more than a month ago. As her customer’s frustration mounted, the agent has documented more than three dozen calls to the broker’s office. Never mind how many emails. She has left messages not just for the broker, but for every other agent listed in the company’s directory. Short of conducting a “sit-in” at their office, a top agent with a full-priced offer cannot complete a purchase of a foreclosure - simply because the representing broker will not return her calls.
When full priced offers fall upon deaf ears of brokers representing foreclosures, don’t expect the Federal Reserve to do much better. Even the best plans by government, backed by trillions of taxpayer dollars, will be stymied by the fact that too many Seventy-Five-Percent-Performers remain in the real estate industry.
For the past five years, our company has helped thousands of brokerages overcome a basic sales challenge: the majority of REALTORS still do not own a smartphone, so they can’t respond to buyers and sellers who inquire by email in a timely fashion. Today we can pretty much forget about leads management and the online consumer: When the industry won’t even answer the telephone – to accept or decline a full-priced offer – how do we expect the market to turn around?
What makes this scenario more scary is that it’s not an isolated situation. When brokers suddenly double their inventory – which is happening everywhere as they make deals with banks to represent their foreclosure inventory – their systems are pushed to their limits. Practices that barely got by during the best of times are bound to fail during the worst of times, even faster when one’s inventory suddenly surges. If REALTORS cannot even return each others calls, it’s little wonder that they cannot explain the new housing credits to hesitant buyers.
As my friend and fellow professional Steve Harney points out, the burden for turning around the economy has fallen upon the shoulders of the real estate industry. Every government official and talking head in the media reminds us that the economy won’t bounce back until the housing market is corrected. That means it’s up to REALTORS – not bankers, not auto manufacturers, not any other industry – to revive the world’s largest economy.
Are we up to the challenge, when we cannot even answer the phone?
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(4 votes: 4.25 out of 5)




Matthew,
I think this post directly relates to the “motif” of most of your recent diatribes; understanding our consumer. We, as an industry, do not KNOW how to communicate with our consumer because we DON’T want to know.
Most of us want to BELIEVE that we’re going to “wake up” tomorrow morning and it will still be 2005.
Unfortunately, and I’m just as guilty as the “other” brokers, we’ve avoided “rousing our sales associates from their slumber of denial”.
Thanks for the cup of black coffee. I’m going to go “pay it forward” now!
Jim
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Along with that cup of black coffee a healthy dose of reality too for the fellow agents. I just negotiated an offer for my Buyer client with a Seller agent who refused to have a realistic conversation with the seller about what to expect for a sale price on the home.
The Seller agent just said “oh well, what are you going to do with thrse Sellers” when I suggested the seller agent do another cma with their seller to see where their price should be and instead told me about the “neighbor” that sold in October!
By the way, the home had been listed at the same price since November and the Seller expected to sell for only 3k less than asking. I blame the agent here, set realistic expectations and if Sellers arent realistic stop wasting everyone’s time.
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Our real estate market in Oakville, Ontario (30 minutes west of Toronto) is similar yet different. I think REALTORS are finally getting the “new market” and trying to educate sellers. Many agents will not bother to take overpriced listings now from unrealistic sellers. We do not have the number of Power of Sales (foreclosures) that the U.S. is experiencing and do not have the term “short sales” as of yet.
Our lower priced homes are selling but as of March 20 we have 176 homes listed over $1,000,000. and only 11 sales in that price range since Jan. 1 of this year.
Lots of competition and I think buyers are still nervous about buying in that price range, with worries of job security and continued price slide.
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Maybe, just maybe, if we report these agents, that do not return calls, to our boards, we could get rid of a few that are really looking to line their wallets with a double dip. That’s the real problem. They want their listings all to themselves. Well don’t we ALL want that? However, it’s not in our clients best interest. It won’t help the economy and we perpetuate the bad housing market.
We are in this trouble due to all people that are looking out for themselves, only.
When will we see that LOOKING OUT FOR US ALL is what will turn this around??
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Then, there are the short sales where the bank or govt can not understand that a bona fide offer is on the table and take days, weeks and sometimes months to negoiate in good faith. In “traditional” real estate negoiations the parties tend to go back and forth rather timely. Not so for these dinosaurs..It’s no wonder their are toxic assets strewn over the market; the holders of the bad debt are not adjusting their model to reality.
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“REALTORS cannot even return each others calls”
We are experiencing this problem with many REO agents in Las Vegas. It takes days before they get back to you only to tell you they already have an accepted offer. What a crock, update the damn MLS then!!!
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I ran into the 90/10 rule time and time again, and yet each time I mention it in conversation with agents, very few will say that they ever heard of it. Brokers not returning phone calls? I have experienced that. On several occasions I have called to place a referral, and left a message with detailed information on how to contact me in return. Silence.
Referral business is the easiest that will ever come to a company. The customers are pre-qualified for them, they do not even have to prospect for it, and yet they ignore it!
Thankfully these are a very small minority, but even so the fact that they exist at all is a testament to how things got in such a mess.
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